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Besa vs Biel

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup 2024/2025 Espenmoos, St. Gallen
1 - 6
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Dzonlagic O.
17'
Latifi E.
30' Event
Rizvanovic M.

AI Match Summary

Biel in this Swiss Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Besa
25%
Draws
35%
Biel
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Besa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Besa haven't matched Biel's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Biel's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Biel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Biel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Besa Clean Sheet 15%
Biel Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besa Biel
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 1 16
Draws 0 9
Losses 1 4
Goals Scored 1 2.28
Goals Conceded 3 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2024 Swiss Cup
Besa vs Biel
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tejada K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Dzonlagic O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sartoretti M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besa 23 / 100
Biel 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besa Biel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besa found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (2 games).

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Biel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Besa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Biel
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Besa

(Home)
13 Sept
Besa
1 : 6
Biel
17 Aug
Besa
1 : 0
Chur

Biel

(Away)
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4
Young Boys II
30 Aug
Bulle
1 : 1
Biel
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
19 Aug
Bruhl SG
0 : 1
Biel
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Suhr 0
Aarau 4
Mendrisio 1
Luzern 4
Monthey 4
Solothurn 3
Lancy 3
Etoile-Carouge 4
FC Ursy 0
Stade Nyonnais 6
Subingen 0
Basel 8
Zurich City SC 0
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Delemont 1
Sion 2
Schattdorf 0
Paradiso 1
AC Malcantone 0
St. Gallen 4
Dardania St. Gallen 1
Gambarogno - Contone 2
Kriens 1
Bellinzona 2
Taverne 1
Wil 3
Wettswil-Bonstetten 1
Winterthur 2
Aemme 2
Haute-Ajoie 1
Champel 0
Lausanne 7
Wallbach-Zeiningen 0
Langenthal 2
Echallens 1
Lausanne Ouchy 6
Besa 1
Chur 0
Biel 2
Xamax 1
Emmen 3
Altstatten 2
Dardania Lausanne 0
Yverdon 3
Rapperswil-Jona 3
Baden 1
Bruhl SG 1
Lugano 7
Schwyz 0
Thun 6
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 9
CS Le Locle 2
Prishtina Bern 1
Zug 0
Zurich 2
Tuggen 0
Schaffhausen 2
Bernex 1
Servette 7
Genolier-Begnins 1
Vevey 3
Printse-Nendaz 0
Young Boys 10
1/16-finals
Aarau 1
Luzern 0
Monthey 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Stade Nyonnais 0
Basel 1
Young Fellows Juventus 0
Sion 2
Paradiso 1
St. Gallen 3
Gambarogno - Contone 1
Bellinzona 2
Wil 2
Winterthur 3
Aemme 0
Lausanne 4
Langenthal 1
Lausanne Ouchy 0
Besa 1
Biel 6
Emmen 1
Yverdon 2
Rapperswil-Jona 1
Lugano 3
Thun 0
Grasshoppers 2
CS Le Locle 0
Zurich 3
Schaffhausen 2
Servette 1
Vevey 2
Young Boys 4
1/8-finals
Aarau 0
Etoile-Carouge 1
Basel 3
Sion 2
St. Gallen 0
Bellinzona 1
Winterthur 0
Lausanne 3
Langenthal 0
Biel 6
Yverdon 0
Lugano 2
Grasshoppers 0
Zurich 1
Schaffhausen 0
Young Boys 1
Quarter-finals
Etoile-Carouge 1
Basel 3
Bellinzona 1
Lausanne 2
Biel 2
Lugano 0
Zurich 2
Young Boys 3
Semi-finals
Basel 3
Lausanne 2
Biel 1
Young Boys 0
Final
Basel 4
Biel 1