Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Santos R.
37'
37'
Koffi P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National 2 - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fleury-Merogis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Besancon RC haven't matched Fleury-Merogis's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Besancon RC Clean Sheet 23%
Fleury-Merogis Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Besancon RC | Fleury-Merogis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2024 National 2 - Group D
Besancon RC vs Fleury-Merogis
1:1
Nov 11, 2023 National 2 - Group D
Fleury-Merogis vs Besancon RC
1:0
Apr 29, 2023 National 1 - Group B
Besancon RC vs Fleury-Merogis
1:0
Dec 3, 2022 National 1 - Group B
Fleury-Merogis vs Besancon RC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Besancon RC Compare
Top Goalscorer Santos R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Fleury-Merogis Compare
Top Goalscorer Koffi P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Besancon RC 37 / 100
Fleury-Merogis 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Besancon RC Fleury-Merogis
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fleury-Merogis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fleury-Merogis conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Besancon RC scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Besancon RC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Fleury-Merogis
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Besancon RC
(Home) 29 Nov
Freyming
1 : 0 Besancon RC
15 Nov
Besancon RC
4 : 0 Thionville
18 May
Besancon RC
1 : 1 Biesheim
11 May
Feignies-Aulnoye
1 : 0 Besancon RC
27 Apr
Besancon RC
3 : 4 Haguenau
Page 1 of 6
15 Nov
Besancon RC
4 : 0 Thionville
18 May
Besancon RC
1 : 1 Biesheim
27 Apr
Besancon RC
3 : 4 Haguenau
13 Apr
Besancon RC
0 : 1 FC Bobigny 93
06 Apr
Besancon RC
1 : 1 Fleury-Merogis
Page 1 of 3
Fleury-Merogis
(Away) 26 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 2 Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
1 : 1 Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury-Merogis
05 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
6 : 1 Villefranche
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1 Fleury-Merogis
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2 Fleury-Merogis
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1 Fleury-Merogis
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1 Fleury-Merogis
25 Jul
Versailles
2 : 1 Fleury-Merogis
17 Jul
Creteil
3 : 1 Fleury-Merogis
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bourg Peronnas | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 48:25 | 50 |
| 2 | Fleury-Merogis | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 44:21 | 46 |
| 3 | Furiani Agliani | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 31:18 | 43 |
| 4 | FC Bobigny 93 | 26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | 39:30 | 42 |
| 5 | Creteil | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 30:29 | 37 |
| 6 | Biesheim | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29:34 | 35 |
| 7 | Wasquehal | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 35:39 | 34 |
| 8 | Feignies-Aulnoye | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:32 | 34 |
| 9 | Haguenau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32:47 | 32 |
| 10 | Colmar | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 35:41 | 31 |
| 11 | Auxerre II | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 32:32 | 30 |
| 12 | Macon | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 34:37 | 28 |
| 13 | Besancon RC | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:34 | 25 |
| 14 | St Quentin | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 37:61 | 24 |
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)
