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Besat Kermanshah vs Ario Eslamshahr

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hosseinzadeh M.
78' Event
Akbaripour H.

AI Match Summary

The Azadegan League game between Besat Kermanshah and Ario Eslamshahr finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Besat Kermanshah
6%
Draws
90%
Ario Eslamshahr
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ario Eslamshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Besat Kermanshah have managed 0.38 goals a game lately — Ario Eslamshahr are scoring more at 0.63.
  • Win probability leans Ario Eslamshahr's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 5%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 30%
Ario Eslamshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besat Kermanshah Ario Eslamshahr
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 14
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Besat Kermanshah
2:0
Dec 6, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Ario Eslamshahr
1:1
Feb 19, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Ario Eslamshahr
0:0
Oct 3, 2024 Azadegan League
Ario Eslamshahr vs Besat Kermanshah
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besat Kermanshah Compare

Top Goalscorer Akbaripour H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Ario Eslamshahr Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosseinzadeh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besat Kermanshah 10 / 100
Ario Eslamshahr 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besat Kermanshah Ario Eslamshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Besat Kermanshah's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Ario Eslamshahr's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Besat Kermanshah went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besat Kermanshah VS Ario Eslamshahr
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran33209447:1569
2Mes Shahr Babak331811439:1465
3Pars Janoobi Jam331512642:2157
4Sanat Naft331512635:2157
5Saipa331511729:1856
6Havadar SC331117532:2050
7Naft Bandar Abbas331017626:1847
8Fard331015824:1545
9Mes Kerman33915920:1842
10Ario Eslamshahr33816917:1740
11Besat Kermanshah339111324:3038
12Niroye Zamini338121328:2936
13Naft Gachsaran337141225:3935
14Kara Gostar Shabestar338101516:3434
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm337111520:3632
16Shahrdari Noshahr335151318:2830
17Navad Urmia334121716:4524
18Damash Gilan332121916:5618