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Besat Kermanshah vs Naft Bandar Abbas

Iran Iran

Azadegan League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Dalir A.
59' Event
Ranjbari P.

AI Match Summary

Besat Kermanshah host Naft Bandar Abbas in the Azadegan League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Besat Kermanshah at 0.38 goals for, 0.5 against; Naft Bandar Abbas at 0.63 for, 0.38 against. Past meetings favor Naft Bandar Abbas slightly — 0-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 20, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.38 vs 0.56, favoring Naft Bandar Abbas. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Besat Kermanshah
28%
Draws
50%
Naft Bandar Abbas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Naft Bandar Abbas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Naft Bandar Abbas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Besat Kermanshah.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Naft Bandar Abbas.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Azadegan League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 30%
Naft Bandar Abbas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besat Kermanshah Naft Bandar Abbas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 16
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Naft Bandar Abbas
1:1
Mar 17, 2025 Azadegan League
Besat Kermanshah vs Naft Bandar Abbas
1:1
Oct 29, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Bandar Abbas vs Besat Kermanshah
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besat Kermanshah Compare

Top Goalscorer Dalir A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Naft Bandar Abbas Compare

Top Goalscorer Ranjbari P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besat Kermanshah 26 / 100
Naft Bandar Abbas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besat Kermanshah Naft Bandar Abbas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besat Kermanshah scored in 43% of their last 28 games.

Naft Bandar Abbas let in goals in 46% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Besat Kermanshah went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Naft Bandar Abbas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besat Kermanshah VS Naft Bandar Abbas
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazandaran32199446:1566
2Mes Shahr Babak321810439:1464
3Pars Janoobi Jam321412638:2154
4Sanat Naft321412634:2154
5Saipa321411727:1853
6Havadar SC321116530:1849
7Fard321015724:1445
8Naft Bandar Abbas32917623:1844
9Mes Kerman32915820:1742
10Ario Eslamshahr32815916:1639
11Besat Kermanshah329111224:2738
12Niroye Zamini328111327:2835
13Naft Gachsaran327131223:3734
14Kara Gostar Shabestar32891516:3433
15Shenavarsazi Qeshm327101519:3531
16Shahrdari Noshahr325141317:2729
17Navad Urmia324121616:4324
18Damash Gilan322121816:5218