Sport Picks

Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026

Navad Urmia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Besat Kermanshah host Navad Urmia in the Azadegan League 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Besat Kermanshah at 0.77 goals for, 0.93 against; Navad Urmia at 0.47 for, 1.53 against. Past meetings favor Besat Kermanshah slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 27, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.56) point toward Besat Kermanshah. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Besat Kermanshah

15%

Draws

Navad Urmia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besat Kermanshah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Besat Kermanshah lately — more wins on the board than Navad Urmia.
85% — that's where the model lands on Besat Kermanshah taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%

Besat Kermanshah Clean Sheet 68%

Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Besat Kermanshah	Navad Urmia
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	3
Draws	10	10
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	0.77	0.47
Goals Conceded	0.93	1.53
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Azadegan League

Besat Kermanshah vs Navad Urmia

3:0

Sep 4, 2025 Azadegan League

Navad Urmia vs Besat Kermanshah

0:0

Jan 10, 2023 Hazfi Cup

Besat Kermanshah vs Navad Urmia

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besat Kermanshah 95 / 100

Navad Urmia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Besat Kermanshah Navad Urmia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besat Kermanshah Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Navad Urmia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Navad Urmia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Besat Kermanshah's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Besat Kermanshah VS Navad Urmia

0.38 Goals Scored 0.13

1 Goals Conceded 2.63

50% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History