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Beselidhja Lezha vs Luzi

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beselidhja Lezha play Luzi in the First Division 2022/2023. Luzi are favorites here. Recently, Beselidhja Lezha averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded. Luzi averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Beselidhja Lezha won 0, Luzi won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Beselidhja Lezha and 1.81 for Luzi. This points to a Luzi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Beselidhja Lezha
6%
Draws
90%
Luzi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Luzi has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Beselidhja Lezha.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Luzi.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in First Division 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 11%
Luzi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beselidhja Lezha Luzi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 12
Draws 8 2
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Luzi
0:1
Nov 14, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Luzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Hima M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 10 / 100
Luzi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beselidhja Lezha Luzi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beselidhja Lezha scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Luzi let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Beselidhja Lezha went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Luzi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beselidhja Lezha VS Luzi
0 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skenderbeu Korca261310337:1349
2Dinamo Tirana26145748:2347
3Flamurtari26137640:1646
4Tomori Berat26134929:2743
5Korabi Peshkopi26109732:2439
6Apolonia Fier26108831:3038
7Luzi26108831:2638
8Besa Kavaje26107932:2637
9Lushnja26881030:4232
10Burreli26710922:2931
11KF Oriku26931427:3330
12Turbina Cerrik26751424:4526
13Beselidhja Lezha26381517:4114
14Terbuni Puka26661416:4124