Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beselidhja Lezha vs Tomori Berat

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Emini S.

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2022/2023 game between Beselidhja Lezha and Tomori Berat finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tomori Berat.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Beselidhja Lezha
17%
Draws
13%
Tomori Berat
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Beselidhja Lezha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Tomori Berat carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Beselidhja Lezha a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tomori Berat have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 68%
Tomori Berat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beselidhja Lezha Tomori Berat
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 3 9
Draws 8 2
Losses 19 27
Goals Scored 0 0.75
Goals Conceded 2 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Tomori Berat
0:1
Nov 5, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Beselidhja Lezha
2:1
Apr 16, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Tomori Berat
3:3
Dec 4, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Tomori Berat vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:0
May 19, 2012 Abissnet Superiore
Tomori Berat vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Tomori Berat Compare

Top Goalscorer Emini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 77 / 100
Tomori Berat 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beselidhja Lezha Tomori Berat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tomori Berat let in goals in 92% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Tomori Berat has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Beselidhja Lezha scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Beselidhja Lezha VS Tomori Berat
0 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beselidhja Lezha

(Home)
15 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
16 Oct
KF Valbona
1 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3
AF Elbasani
18 May
Korabi Peshkopi
3 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
07 May
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 6

Tomori Berat

(Away)
18 Nov
Flamurtari
9 : 0
Tomori Berat
15 Oct
KF Valbona
:
Tomori Berat
16 Oct
Tomori Berat
1 : 2
Iliria Kruja
08 May
Tomori Berat
0 : 2
Lushnja
04 May
AF Elbasani
5 : 0
Tomori Berat
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skenderbeu Korca261310337:1349
2Dinamo Tirana26145748:2347
3Flamurtari26137640:1646
4Tomori Berat26134929:2743
5Korabi Peshkopi26109732:2439
6Apolonia Fier26108831:3038
7Luzi26108831:2638
8Besa Kavaje26107932:2637
9Lushnja26881030:4232
10Burreli26710922:2931
11KF Oriku26931427:3330
12Turbina Cerrik26751424:4526
13Beselidhja Lezha26381517:4114
14Terbuni Puka26661416:4124
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)