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Beselidhja Lezha vs Turbina Cerrik

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hepaj S.

AI Match Summary

Beselidhja Lezha in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Beselidhja Lezha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Beselidhja Lezha
44%
Draws
20%
Turbina Cerrik
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Turbina Cerrik have won more games recently than Beselidhja Lezha.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 14%
Turbina Cerrik Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beselidhja Lezha Turbina Cerrik
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 8 4
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 0.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Turbina Cerrik
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Beselidhja Lezha
0:0
Jan 29, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Turbina Cerrik
3:1
Sep 18, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Turbina Cerrik vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:1
May 8, 2010 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Turbina Cerrik
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Top Goalscorer Hepaj S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Turbina Cerrik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 35 / 100
Turbina Cerrik 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beselidhja Lezha Turbina Cerrik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Turbina Cerrik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Turbina Cerrik has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Beselidhja Lezha's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Beselidhja Lezha VS Turbina Cerrik
0.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skenderbeu Korca261310337:1349
2Dinamo Tirana26145748:2347
3Flamurtari26137640:1646
4Tomori Berat26134929:2743
5Korabi Peshkopi26109732:2439
6Apolonia Fier26108831:3038
7Luzi26108831:2638
8Besa Kavaje26107932:2637
9Lushnja26881030:4232
10Burreli26710922:2931
11KF Oriku26931427:3330
12Turbina Cerrik26751424:4526
13Beselidhja Lezha26381517:4114
14Terbuni Puka26661416:4124