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Besiktas vs Basaksehir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Tupras Stadium, Istanbul
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Besiktas host Basaksehir in the Super Lig. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Besiktas at 1.82 goals for, 1.03 against; Basaksehir at 1.52 for, 1.34 against. Head-to-head, Besiktas have won 2 to Basaksehir's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.98 xG vs 0.94) point toward Besiktas. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Besiktas
20%
Draws
24%
Basaksehir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Besiktas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Besiktas lately — more wins on the board than Basaksehir.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Besiktas taking it.
  • Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 20%
Basaksehir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besiktas Basaksehir
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.82 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Besiktas
2:3
Sep 13, 2025 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Basaksehir
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Basaksehir
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Besiktas
0:0
Apr 4, 2024 Super Lig
Basaksehir vs Besiktas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besiktas 76 / 100
Basaksehir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besiktas Basaksehir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besiktas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Besiktas scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Basaksehir let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Besiktas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Besiktas VS Basaksehir
2.38 Goals Scored 1.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Besiktas

(Home)
15 Oct
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Besiktas
11 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 1
Kocaelispor
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2
Besiktas
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
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Basaksehir

(Away)
11 Oct
Konyaspor
0 : 0
Basaksehir
19 Sept
Basaksehir
4 : 0
Genclerbirligi
13 Sept
Amedspor
5 : 0
Basaksehir
04 Sept
Basaksehir
2 : 3
Galatasaray
30 Aug
Basaksehir
1 : 1
Kasimpasa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 8 6 1 1 17:11 19
2 Amedspor 8 5 2 1 18:9 17
3 Fenerbahce 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
4 Besiktas 7 5 0 2 16:8 15
5 Trabzonspor 7 4 1 2 16:5 13
6 Corum FK 8 4 1 3 18:13 13
7 Kasimpasa 8 3 4 1 12:9 13
8 Kocaelispor 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
9 Alanyaspor 8 3 3 2 8:9 12
10 Erzurumspor FK 8 3 2 3 5:11 11
11 Rizespor 8 3 1 4 8:11 10
12 Basaksehir 7 2 2 3 10:11 8
13 Gaziantep 7 2 2 3 7:10 8
14 Genclerbirligi 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
15 Goztepe 7 1 3 3 15:15 6
16 Konyaspor 8 1 2 5 4:9 5
17 Samsunspor 8 1 1 6 7:19 4
18 Eyupspor 8 1 0 7 2:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)