Sport Picks
Besiktas vs Erzurumspor FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
Super Lig Tupras Stadium, Istanbul 
Match Events
15'
15'
Kokcu O.
21'
21'
Topcu E.
Assist: Kokcu O.
26'
26'
Ouattara K.
AI Match Summary
The Super Lig game between Besiktas and Erzurumspor FK finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Besiktas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Besiktas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Erzurumspor FK come out ahead of Besiktas on wins alone.
- Besiktas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Super Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 20%
Erzurumspor FK Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Besiktas | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.51 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Erzurumspor FK
3:0
Apr 11, 2021 Super Lig
Erzurumspor FK vs Besiktas
2:4
Dec 20, 2020 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Erzurumspor FK
4:0
Jan 22, 2020 Turkish Cup
Besiktas vs Erzurumspor FK
2:3
Jan 15, 2020 Turkish Cup
Erzurumspor FK vs Besiktas
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Besiktas Compare
Top Goalscorer Topcu E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Trossard L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Erzurumspor FK Compare
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Besiktas 85 / 100
Erzurumspor FK 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Besiktas Erzurumspor FK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Besiktas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Besiktas found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
Solid form: Besiktas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Erzurumspor FK has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Besiktas VS Erzurumspor FK
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Besiktas
(Home) 20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2 Besiktas
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1 Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
31 Aug
Besiktas
6 : 2 Corum FK
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1 Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
31 Aug
Besiktas
6 : 2 Corum FK
20 Aug
Besiktas
3 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Aug
Besiktas
1 : 0 Eyupspor
Page 1 of 3
Erzurumspor FK
(Away) 10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
20 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Samsunspor
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Erzurumspor FK
1 : 0 Konyaspor
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Alanyaspor
0 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
28 Aug
Genclerbirligi
1 : 1 Erzurumspor FK
16 Aug
Amedspor
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
04 Aug
Alanyaspor
0 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17:9 | 14 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:5 | 13 |
| 5 | Besiktas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14:7 | 12 |
| 6 | Kocaelispor | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 8 | Kasimpasa | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Genclerbirligi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 12 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3:11 | 8 |
| 13 | Corum FK | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 14 | Basaksehir | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Goztepe | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | 3 |
| 18 | Eyupspor | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
