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Besiktas vs Galatasaray - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Tupras Stadium, Istanbul
Mon, Nov 30, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Besiktas host Galatasaray in the Super Lig. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Galatasaray have shipped 1.73 goals a game lately, while Besiktas have conceded 1.1 and scored 1.73. Past meetings favor Besiktas slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.94) point toward Besiktas. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Besiktas
20%
Draws
52%
Galatasaray
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Galatasaray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Besiktas have managed 1.73 goals a game lately — Galatasaray are scoring more at 2.07.
  • Win probability leans Galatasaray's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 10%
Galatasaray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besiktas Galatasaray
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.73 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Galatasaray
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Besiktas
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Galatasaray
2:1
Oct 28, 2024 Super Lig
Galatasaray vs Besiktas
2:1
Aug 3, 2024 Super Cup
Galatasaray vs Besiktas
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besiktas 10 / 100
Galatasaray 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besiktas Galatasaray

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galatasaray Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besiktas's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Galatasaray's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Besiktas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Besiktas VS Galatasaray
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Besiktas

(Home)
08 Nov
Besiktas
3 : 0
Genclerbirligi
05 Nov
Celtic
3 : 2
Besiktas
01 Nov
Kasimpasa
2 : 2
Besiktas
26 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 0
Basaksehir
22 Oct
Besiktas
2 : 2
Crystal Palace
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Galatasaray

(Away)
07 Nov
Galatasaray
4 : 3
Amedspor
03 Nov
Galatasaray
2 : 0
VfB Stuttgart
30 Oct
Konyaspor
0 : 4
Galatasaray
26 Oct
Galatasaray
2 : 1
Fenerbahce
21 Oct
Lille
2 : 4
Galatasaray
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 11 9 1 1 27:15 28
2 Trabzonspor 11 8 1 2 26:8 25
3 Amedspor 11 7 2 2 28:15 23
4 Besiktas 11 7 1 3 23:12 22
5 Kasimpasa 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
6 Fenerbahce 11 6 1 4 29:10 19
7 Kocaelispor 11 6 1 4 13:9 19
8 Basaksehir 11 5 2 4 19:17 17
9 Corum FK 11 5 1 5 21:21 16
10 Goztepe 11 4 3 4 22:19 15
11 Rizespor 11 4 2 5 13:16 14
12 Erzurumspor FK 11 4 2 5 10:17 14
13 Alanyaspor 11 3 3 5 9:18 12
14 Genclerbirligi 11 3 2 6 12:21 11
15 Konyaspor 11 2 2 7 6:14 8
16 Gaziantep 11 2 2 7 9:19 8
17 Samsunspor 11 2 1 8 11:26 7
18 Eyupspor 11 1 0 10 3:30 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)