Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besiktas vs Kocaelispor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig Tupras Stadium, Istanbul
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Besiktas host Kocaelispor in the Super Lig. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Besiktas at 1.76 goals for, 0.97 against; Kocaelispor at 0.83 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Besiktas slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.02 xG vs 0.83) point toward Besiktas. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Besiktas
15%
Draws
42%
Kocaelispor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besiktas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Besiktas lately — more wins on the board than Kocaelispor.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Besiktas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Besiktas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 68%
Kocaelispor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besiktas Kocaelispor
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 20 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.76 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Besiktas
0:1
Feb 5, 2026 Turkish Cup
Kocaelispor vs Besiktas
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Kocaelispor
3:1
Jul 21, 2019 Club Friendly
Besiktas vs Kocaelispor
7:1
Apr 10, 2009 Super Lig
Kocaelispor vs Besiktas
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besiktas 86 / 100
Kocaelispor 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besiktas Kocaelispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Besiktas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Besiktas scored in 78% of their last 37 outings.

Defensive concern: Kocaelispor conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Besiktas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Besiktas VS Kocaelispor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.17
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.67
38% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 17%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Besiktas

(Home)
20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2
Besiktas
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1
Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0
Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2
Besiktas
31 Aug
Besiktas
6 : 2
Corum FK
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Kocaelispor

(Away)
19 Sept
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Gaziantep
13 Sept
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Kocaelispor
06 Sept
Kocaelispor
1 : 0
Samsunspor
29 Aug
Konyaspor
1 : 2
Kocaelispor
24 Aug
Kocaelispor
2 : 0
Amedspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amedspor 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Galatasaray 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
3 Besiktas 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Kocaelispor 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
5 Alanyaspor 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
6 Fenerbahce 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
7 Trabzonspor 6 3 1 2 13:5 10
8 Kasimpasa 6 2 4 0 7:5 10
9 Rizespor 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
10 Gaziantep 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 Corum FK 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
12 Basaksehir 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
13 Genclerbirligi 6 2 1 3 5:13 7
14 Erzurumspor FK 6 2 1 3 3:11 7
15 Konyaspor 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
16 Samsunspor 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
17 Goztepe 6 0 3 3 11:15 3
18 Eyupspor 6 1 0 5 2:16 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)