Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Agbadou E.
15'
15'
Fakili I.
Assist: Olaitan J.
29'
29'
Abdallah K.
Assist: Abdelli H.
AI Match Summary
The Europa League game between Besiktas and Marseille finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Besiktas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Besiktas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Besiktas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Besiktas's way, sitting at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Europa League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Besiktas have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 20%
Marseille Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Besiktas | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Europa League
Besiktas vs Marseille
4:1
Nov 28, 2007 Champions League
Besiktas vs Marseille
2:1
Sep 18, 2007 Champions League
Marseille vs Besiktas
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Besiktas Compare
Top Goalscorer Fakili I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cerny V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Marseille Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdallah K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Besiktas 85 / 100
Marseille 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Besiktas Marseille
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Besiktas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marseille let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.
Marseille lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Besiktas scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Besiktas VS Marseille
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Besiktas
(Home) 20 Sept
Amedspor
3 : 2 Besiktas
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1 Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
05 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 2 Besiktas
31 Aug
Besiktas
6 : 2 Corum FK
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1 Marseille
11 Sept
Besiktas
3 : 0 Erzurumspor FK
31 Aug
Besiktas
6 : 2 Corum FK
20 Aug
Besiktas
3 : 0 FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Aug
Besiktas
1 : 0 Eyupspor
Page 1 of 3
Marseille
(Away) 20 Sept
Marseille
1 : 2 PSG
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1 Marseille
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0 Marseille
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3 Paris FC
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0 Marseille
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Besiktas
4 : 1 Marseille
11 Sept
Rennes
1 : 0 Marseille
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0 Marseille
10 May
Le Havre
0 : 1 Marseille
02 May
Nantes
3 : 0 Marseille
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 14 | Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 16 | Omonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 17 | Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 18 | Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 19 | Din. Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 20 | H. Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 23 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 24 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 25 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 26 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 29 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 30 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 31 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 32 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 33 | Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 34 | Plzen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 36 | Nijmegen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
