Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Besiktas vs Rizespor

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Besiktas Park
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
27' Event
Murillo M.
Assist: Agbadou E.
38' Event
Ucan S.
Assist: Rashica M.

AI Match Summary

Besiktas in this Turkish Cup matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Besiktas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Besiktas
40%
Draws
29%
Rizespor
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Rizespor haven't matched Besiktas's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Turkish Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Besiktas Clean Sheet 20%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Besiktas Rizespor
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Besiktas
2:2
Mar 4, 2026 Turkish Cup
Besiktas vs Rizespor
4:1
Dec 20, 2025 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Rizespor
1:0
May 25, 2025 Super Lig
Besiktas vs Rizespor
1:2
Jan 3, 2025 Super Lig
Rizespor vs Besiktas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Besiktas Compare

Top Goalscorer Murillo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ucan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rizespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Papanikolaou G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Besiktas 32 / 100
Rizespor 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Besiktas Rizespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Besiktas scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Rizespor has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Besiktas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Besiktas VS Rizespor
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray44008:312
2Trabzonspor430113:49
3Alanyaspor42118:47
4Basaksehir42028:76
5F. Karagumruk41215:65
6Boluspor40221:62
7Istanbulspor AS40222:92
8Fethiyespor40131:71
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Samsunspor440012:312
2Konyaspor44009:112
3Genclerbirligi43109:510
4Igdir FK41219:45
5Eyupspor41125:64
6Bodrumspor40133:71
7Aliaga40135:161
8Antalyaspor40040:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Besiktas431010:310
2Fenerbahce43019:39
3Erzurumspor FK42028:86
4Gaziantep42028:106
5Kocaelispor41124:44
6Rizespor41127:94
7Beyoglu Yeni Carsi41123:54
8Keciorengucu41036:133