Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022

Barakaldo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Beti Gazte play Barakaldo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022. Barakaldo are favorites here. Recently, Beti Gazte averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Barakaldo averaged 1.68 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, Beti Gazte won 0, Barakaldo won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 23, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Beti Gazte and 1.18 for Barakaldo. This points to a Barakaldo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Beti Gazte

22%

Draws

62%

Barakaldo

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Barakaldo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Beti Gazte picked up more points recently compared to Barakaldo.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.18 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

Beti Gazte Clean Sheet 20%

Barakaldo Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Beti Gazte	Barakaldo
Matches Played	30	38
Wins	4	20
Draws	7	8
Losses	19	10
Goals Scored	0.7	1.68
Goals Conceded	2.17	1.08

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Beti Gazte vs Barakaldo

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Barakaldo vs Beti Gazte

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beti Gazte 18 / 100

Barakaldo 58 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Beti Gazte Barakaldo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barakaldo Win (2)

Secondary Pick Barakaldo & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Beti Gazte attacking → ← attacking Barakaldo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beti Gazte scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Barakaldo let in goals in 68% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Beti Gazte went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Barakaldo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 68

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alaves B	38	21	13	4	72:31	76
2	Beasain	38	19	13	6	65:36	70
3	Portugalete	38	19	13	6	60:33	70
4	Barakaldo	38	20	9	9	64:46	69
5	Basconia	38	18	11	9	45:32	65
6	CD Vitoria	38	16	11	11	55:49	59
7	San Ignacio	38	17	7	14	57:48	58
8	SCD Durango	38	13	18	7	42:29	57
9	Leioa	38	15	11	12	55:38	56
10	Anaitasuna FT	38	14	10	14	48:49	52
11	Lagun Onak	38	13	12	13	42:44	51
12	Pasaia	38	13	11	14	36:43	50
13	SD Deusto	38	11	16	11	42:40	49
14	Urduliz FT	38	12	9	17	39:57	45
15	Aurrera Ondarroa	38	10	8	20	36:55	38
16	Santutxu FC	38	8	14	16	42:60	38
17	Uritarra	38	10	8	20	38:52	38
18	Amurrio Club	38	8	13	17	39:45	37
19	Beti Gazte	38	6	8	24	34:80	26
20	Tolosa	38	7	5	26	43:87	26