Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024

Alesves

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Beti Kozkor play Alesves in the Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024. Beti Kozkor are favorites here. Recently, Beti Kozkor averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Alesves averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Beti Kozkor won 3, Alesves won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Beti Kozkor and 1.13 for Alesves. This points to a Beti Kozkor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%

Beti Kozkor

24%

Draws

18%

Alesves

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Beti Kozkor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Beti Kozkor picked up more points recently compared to Alesves.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Beti Kozkor Clean Sheet 21%

Alesves Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Beti Kozkor	Alesves
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	4
Draws	9	6
Losses	11	20
Goals Scored	1.44	0.77
Goals Conceded	1.19	1.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Beti Kozkor vs Alesves

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Alesves vs Beti Kozkor

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Feb 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Beti Kozkor vs Alesves

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

4:0

Sep 14, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15

Alesves vs Beti Kozkor

Possession: 42% - 42% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beti Kozkor Compare

Top Goalscorer Balda J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Beguiristain B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Alesves Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beti Kozkor 56 / 100

Alesves 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Beti Kozkor Alesves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beti Kozkor Win (1)

Secondary Pick Beti Kozkor & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16%

2.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Beti Kozkor attacking → ← attacking Alesves

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beti Kozkor scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Alesves let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Beti Kozkor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Alesves lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 18

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Subiza	34	20	8	6	68:29	68
2	Cortes	34	17	12	5	40:23	63
3	CD Ardoi	34	18	8	8	49:23	62
4	Pena	34	14	15	5	53:39	57
5	Huarte	34	16	6	12	51:47	54
6	CD Cantolagua	34	15	9	10	55:45	54
7	CD Beti Onak	34	15	5	14	47:50	50
8	Cirbonero	34	12	8	14	46:49	44
9	Txantrea	34	11	9	14	34:36	42
10	Pamplona	34	10	12	12	45:45	42
11	Beti Kozkor	34	11	9	14	35:43	42
12	Bidezarra	34	9	15	10	42:38	42
13	Burlades	34	11	8	15	35:47	41
14	Oberena	34	11	7	16	43:49	40
15	Ezcabarte	34	10	10	14	42:51	40
16	Lagunak	34	8	10	16	35:52	34
17	Lerines	34	9	7	18	34:59	34
18	Alesves	34	7	6	21	34:63	27