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Betlemi Keda vs Locomotive Tbilisi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Betlemi Keda host Locomotive Tbilisi in the Liga 3. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Betlemi Keda at 0.9 goals for, 2.55 against; Locomotive Tbilisi at 1.48 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Locomotive Tbilisi slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 2.50) point toward Locomotive Tbilisi. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Betlemi Keda
20%
Draws
46%
Locomotive Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Locomotive Tbilisi lately — more wins on the board than Betlemi Keda.
  • Locomotive Tbilisi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Locomotive Tbilisi have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Betlemi Keda Clean Sheet 10%
Locomotive Tbilisi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Betlemi Keda Locomotive Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Liga 3
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
1:0
May 1, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Locomotive Tbilisi vs Betlemi Keda
5:0
Nov 13, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Betlemi Keda vs Locomotive Tbilisi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Betlemi Keda 10 / 100
Locomotive Tbilisi 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Betlemi Keda Locomotive Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locomotive Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Locomotive Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Betlemi Keda's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Betlemi Keda remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Betlemi Keda VS Locomotive Tbilisi
1 Goals Scored 1.75
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Betlemi Keda

(Home)
09 Oct
Betlemi Keda
2 : 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi
17 Sept
Khobi
1 : 2
Betlemi Keda
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
FC Gardabani
2 : 1
Betlemi Keda
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
Page 1 of 6

Locomotive Tbilisi

(Away)
09 Oct
Didube
1 : 3
Locomotive Tbilisi
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
09 Sept
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guria 23 17 3 3 67:11 54
2 FC Tbilisi 2025 23 15 7 1 57:14 52
3 Iberia 1999 2 23 11 9 3 37:19 42
4 Merani Tbilisi 23 11 7 5 39:29 40
5 WIT Georgia 23 11 5 7 37:25 38
6 Gonio 23 11 5 7 32:24 38
7 Orbi 23 10 5 8 39:28 35
8 Didube 23 9 7 7 35:31 34
9 Dinamo Tbilisi 2 23 9 5 9 34:33 32
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 23 8 7 8 30:29 31
11 Margveti 2006 23 9 3 11 30:39 30
12 Khobi 23 7 3 13 31:46 24
13 FC Gardabani 23 4 4 15 19:56 16
14 Betlemi Keda 23 4 4 15 15:55 16
15 Iveria Khashuri 23 1 11 11 24:48 14
16 FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 23 2 5 16 19:58 11
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)