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Beykoz Ishakli Spor vs Karacabey Bld.

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Beykoz Ishakli Spor play Karacabey Bld. in the Turkish Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Beykoz Ishakli Spor averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Karacabey Bld. averaged 1.45 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Beykoz Ishakli Spor won 1, Karacabey Bld. won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 16, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Beykoz Ishakli Spor and 1.06 for Karacabey Bld.. This points to a Karacabey Bld. double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Beykoz Ishakli Spor
23%
Draws
39%
Karacabey Bld.
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Karacabey Bld.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Beykoz Ishakli Spor picked up more points recently compared to Karacabey Bld..
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Beykoz Ishakli Spor Clean Sheet 22%
Karacabey Bld. Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beykoz Ishakli Spor Karacabey Bld.
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 11
Draws 13 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Turkish Cup
Beykoz Ishakli Spor vs Karacabey Bld.
0:2
Apr 3, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Karacabey Bld. vs Beykoz Ishakli Spor
1:0
Nov 10, 2018 3. Lig Group 3
Beykoz Ishakli Spor vs Karacabey Bld.
2:3
Mar 21, 2012 3. Lig Group 3
Beykoz Ishakli Spor vs Karacabey Bld.
1:3
Oct 30, 2011 3. Lig Group 3
Karacabey Bld. vs Beykoz Ishakli Spor
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beykoz Ishakli Spor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Karacabey Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Kose I. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaya T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beykoz Ishakli Spor 39 / 100
Karacabey Bld. 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beykoz Ishakli Spor Karacabey Bld.

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Karacabey Bld. or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Beykoz Ishakli Spor attacking → ← attacking Karacabey Bld.

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Beykoz Ishakli Spor scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Karacabey Bld. let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Beykoz Ishakli Spor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Karacabey Bld. lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 40
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13