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Bezana vs Atletico Albericia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Urdiales H.
46' Event
Setien L.
49'
Hernandez U.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Bezana and Atletico Albericia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bezana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bezana
15%
Draws
0%
Atletico Albericia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bezana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bezana are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bezana Clean Sheet 19%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana Atletico Albericia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.43 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Atletico Albericia
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Atletico Albericia
2:3
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Bezana
0:1
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Atletico Albericia
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs Bezana
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Urdiales H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Atletico Albericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Setien L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 85 / 100
Atletico Albericia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana Atletico Albericia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Albericia has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Albericia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bezana scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS Atletico Albericia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 2
Bezana
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
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Atletico Albericia

(Away)
27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
Solares
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2
CD Laredo
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4
Selaya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bezana 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
2 CD Tropezon 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Vimenor 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
4 CD Laredo 4 3 0 1 9:2 9
5 Torina 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
6 CD Revilla 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
7 Cayon CD 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
8 Atletico Mineros 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
9 UD Samano 4 1 2 1 8:6 5
10 Castro 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Selaya 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
12 UM Escobedo 4 1 1 2 3:7 4
13 Velarde 4 1 1 2 3:7 4
14 Guarnizo 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
15 Solares 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
16 CD Barquereno 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
17 Naval Reinosa 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
18 Atletico Albericia 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)