Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bezana vs Cayon CD

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Santiago J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between Bezana and Cayon CD finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bezana
20%
Draws
47%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cayon CD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cayon CD's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cayon CD have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Bezana Clean Sheet 15%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana Cayon CD
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Cayon CD
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Bezana
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Bezana
3:2
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Cayon CD
1:0
Mar 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Bezana
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Santiago J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 27 / 100
Cayon CD 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bezana scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Cayon CD let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bezana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS Cayon CD
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
26 Apr
Bezana
1 : 2
Selaya
Page 1 of 6

Cayon CD

(Away)
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
29 Aug
CD Revilla
0 : 0
Cayon CD
26 Aug
Cayon CD
4 : 1
Bansander
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)