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Bezana vs Cayon CD

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
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Match Events

70' Event
Santiago J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Bezana and Cayon CD finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cayon CD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bezana
22%
Draws
18%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Cayon CD carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bezana's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cayon CD have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana Cayon CD
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 2 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Cayon CD
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Bezana
2:1
Apr 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Bezana
3:2
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Cayon CD
1:0
Mar 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Bezana
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Santiago J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 68 / 100
Cayon CD 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bezana scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Cayon CD let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bezana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS Cayon CD
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
26 Apr
Bezana
1 : 2
Selaya
19 Apr
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Bezana
11 Apr
Bezana
2 : 3
Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 6

Cayon CD

(Away)
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 1
Cayon CD
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
19 Apr
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
2 : 0
Cayon CD
12 Apr
Cayon CD
2 : 0
SD Revilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13SD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)