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Bezana vs Guarnizo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Salinas Viadero A.
23' Event
Ocejo G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Bezana
30%
Draws
12%
Guarnizo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bezana haven't matched Guarnizo's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Bezana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Bezana Clean Sheet 68%
Guarnizo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana Guarnizo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Guarnizo
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Bezana
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Bezana
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Guarnizo
0:1
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Guarnizo vs Bezana
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas Viadero A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guarnizo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ocejo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 95 / 100
Guarnizo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana Guarnizo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bezana scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Bezana stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Guarnizo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guarnizo conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS Guarnizo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
Page 1 of 6

Guarnizo

(Away)
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
24 May
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Guarnizo
17 May
Guarnizo
0 : 0
CD Tropezon
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)