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Bezana vs Pontejos

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Bezana and Pontejos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bezana
15%
Draws
32%
Pontejos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Bezana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bezana's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Bezana Clean Sheet 19%
Pontejos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bezana Pontejos
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.42 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Bezana
2:2
Sep 21, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Pontejos
1:1
Feb 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Pontejos
2:2
Sep 23, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Bezana
0:2
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Pontejos vs Bezana
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bezana 76 / 100
Pontejos 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bezana Pontejos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontejos let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bezana scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Bezana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bezana VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bezana

(Home)
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1
Atletico Albericia
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

Pontejos

(Away)
11 May
Barreda Balompie
4 : 2
Pontejos
04 May
Pontejos
3 : 0
Guarnizo
26 Apr
Ribamontan al Mar
1 : 2
Pontejos
20 Apr
Pontejos
0 : 1
Gama
17 Apr
Castro
4 : 0
Pontejos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)