Sport Picks
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Lithuania
I Lyga 
Match Events
9'
9'
Osipovic A.
18'
18'
Kovtun P.
73'
73'
Tabata S.
AI Match Summary
The I Lyga game between BFA Vilnius and FK Babrungas finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFA Vilnius.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Babrungas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FK Babrungas come out ahead of BFA Vilnius on wins alone.
- Win probability leans FK Babrungas's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 17%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFA Vilnius | FK Babrungas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
2:1
May 1, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
4:0
Apr 28, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
3:1
May 31, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BFA Vilnius Compare
Top Goalscorer Osipovic A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kovtun P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
FK Babrungas Compare
Top Goalscorer Tabata S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BFA Vilnius 28 / 100
FK Babrungas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BFA Vilnius FK Babrungas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Babrungas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
BFA Vilnius scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: BFA Vilnius stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
FK Babrungas let in goals in 38% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
BFA Vilnius VS FK Babrungas
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
BFA Vilnius
(Home) 09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2 Zalgiris 2
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0 BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1 BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3 BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2 Zalgiris 2
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0 Neptunas
08 Aug
BFA Vilnius
4 : 2 Transinvest 2
26 Jul
BFA Vilnius
3 : 1 BE1 NFA
Page 1 of 4
FK Babrungas
(Away) 10 Oct
FK Babrungas
2 : 0 Jonava
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
11 Sept
FK Babrungas
3 : 2 FK Atmosfera
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Zalgiris 2
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1 FK Babrungas
15 Aug
Neptunas
0 : 4 FK Babrungas
08 Aug
Dainava Alytus
2 : 1 FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Minija | 25 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 68:13 | 67 |
| 2 | FK Babrungas | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 45:11 | 64 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 25 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 46:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Zalgiris 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 40:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Neptunas | 26 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 33:31 | 44 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 40:37 | 43 |
| 7 | Tauras Taurage | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 43:31 | 43 |
| 8 | Dainava Alytus | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 37:27 | 41 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:33 | 31 |
| 10 | Garliava | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:28 | 29 |
| 11 | Jonava | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 28:35 | 27 |
| 12 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 26:46 | 23 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 30:59 | 22 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 27:59 | 22 |
| 15 | Siauliai 2 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 30:59 | 18 |
| 16 | Ekranas | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 26:59 | 15 |
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)
