Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup FK TransINVEST stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Kudzin R.

AI Match Summary

The Lithuanian Cup game between BFA Vilnius and FK Babrungas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
BFA Vilnius
28%
Draws
50%
FK Babrungas
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FK Babrungas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius haven't matched FK Babrungas's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FK Babrungas's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Cup games in Lithuanian Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 14%
FK Babrungas Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius FK Babrungas
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 2.25 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
4:0
Apr 28, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
3:1
May 31, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Babrungas
3:2
Aug 23, 2024 I Lyga
FK Babrungas vs BFA Vilnius
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Kudzin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Babrungas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 23 / 100
FK Babrungas 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius FK Babrungas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

BFA Vilnius's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: FK Babrungas conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

BFA Vilnius has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS FK Babrungas
1 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai2
Sirijus1
FK Minija3
Suduva2
FK Atmosfera2
Zalgiris1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis0
FK Panevezys2
Klaipedos FM1
BE1 NFA0
Viltis Vilnius1
Dainava Alytus7
Kursenai1
Transinvest10
Tauras Taurage1
FC Hegelmann4
Ataka Vilnius4
FK Sirvena Birzai0
Jonava0
FA Siauliai4
Neptunas0
Dziugas Telsiai2
Vilniaus Vytis0
Banga4
BFA Vilnius1
FK Babrungas0
AFK Vilnius0
Garliava3
Vilnius FA0
Riteriai1
FK Sveikata Kybartai0
FK Kauno Zalgiris3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai1
FK Minija4
FK Atmosfera0
FK Panevezys3
Klaipedos FM0
Dainava Alytus2
Transinvest2
FC Hegelmann0
Ataka Vilnius1
FA Siauliai2
Dziugas Telsiai1
Banga0
BFA Vilnius2
Garliava1
Riteriai0
FK Kauno Zalgiris4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija2
FK Panevezys1
Dainava Alytus2
Transinvest1
FA Siauliai2
Dziugas Telsiai1
BFA Vilnius0
FK Kauno Zalgiris3
Semi-finals
FK Minija-
Dainava Alytus-
FA Siauliai-
FK Kauno Zalgiris-
Final
TBD-
TBD-