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BFA Vilnius vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BFA Vilnius host FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 in the I Lyga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: BFA Vilnius at 1.41 goals for, 1.47 against; FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 at 1.03 for, 1.69 against. Past meetings favor BFA Vilnius slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.38) point toward BFA Vilnius. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
BFA Vilnius
15%
Draws
59%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFA Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than FK Kauno Zalgiris 2.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and BFA Vilnius have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 17%
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:2
Mar 28, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 I Lyga
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 vs BFA Vilnius
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 36 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFA Vilnius found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

BFA Vilnius went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
24 Oct
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Minija
16 Oct
Jonava
3 : 0
BFA Vilnius
09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2
Zalgiris 2
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
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FK Kauno Zalgiris 2

(Away)
25 Oct
Dainava Alytus
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
16 Oct
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
0 : 2
Transinvest 2
09 Oct
Siauliai 2
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 2
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 28 22 4 2 52:13 70
2 FK Minija 27 22 1 4 71:18 67
3 BE1 NFA 27 18 3 6 50:27 57
4 Zalgiris 2 28 15 4 9 44:36 49
5 BFA Vilnius 28 14 4 10 42:41 46
6 Neptunas 28 14 2 12 33:35 44
7 Dainava Alytus 28 12 8 8 40:29 44
8 Tauras Taurage 27 13 5 9 48:37 44
9 FK Atmosfera 27 10 7 10 43:35 37
10 Garliava 28 9 5 14 34:32 32
11 Jonava 28 8 6 14 31:38 30
12 Transinvest 2 28 8 4 16 35:61 28
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 28 9 1 18 27:45 28
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 28 7 2 19 31:67 23
15 Ekranas 28 5 3 20 29:62 18
16 Siauliai 2 28 4 5 19 31:65 17
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)