Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs FK Minija - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

BFA Vilnius host FK Minija in the I Lyga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: BFA Vilnius at 1.47 goals for, 1.43 against; FK Minija at 2.7 for, 0.63 against. Past meetings favor BFA Vilnius slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 2.19) point toward FK Minija. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
BFA Vilnius
20%
Draws
52%
FK Minija
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Minija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Minija have won more games recently than BFA Vilnius.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on FK Minija taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 10%
FK Minija Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius FK Minija
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 27
Draws 5 1
Losses 10 2
Goals Scored 1.47 2.7
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 I Lyga
FK Minija vs BFA Vilnius
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 I Lyga
FK Minija vs BFA Vilnius
1:1
May 3, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Minija
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs FK Minija
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 I Lyga
FK Minija vs BFA Vilnius
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 10 / 100
FK Minija 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius FK Minija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Minija Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: BFA Vilnius scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: BFA Vilnius remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

FK Minija let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS FK Minija
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

FK Minija

(Away)
02 Oct
FK Minija
5 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
12 Sept
Dainava Alytus
0 : 3
FK Minija
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
01 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 2
Dainava Alytus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 25 11 7 7 35:25 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 25 7 1 17 23:43 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)