Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs Garliava

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup FK TransINVEST stadium, Galine
BFA Vilnius Logo

BFA Vilnius

2 - 1
FT
Garliava Logo

Garliava

Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ostapenko K.
24' Event
Gedziunas S.
35' Event
Kudzin R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
BFA Vilnius
20%
Draws
0%
Garliava
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • BFA Vilnius have won more games recently than Garliava.
  • Model gives BFA Vilnius a 80% chance of winning this.
  • BFA Vilnius have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor BFA Vilnius, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 20%
Garliava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius Garliava
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
2:1
May 9, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
1:2
Aug 9, 2024 I Lyga
Garliava vs BFA Vilnius
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
1:0
Nov 8, 2023 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Garliava
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Kudzin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Misiunas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Garliava Compare

Top Goalscorer Gedziunas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 85 / 100
Garliava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius Garliava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Garliava lost 5 of their last 5 games.

BFA Vilnius scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Garliava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS Garliava
1.88 Goals Scored 0.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0
BFA Vilnius
08 Aug
BFA Vilnius
4 : 2
Transinvest 2
02 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 0
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

Garliava

(Away)
29 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
FK Babrungas
21 Aug
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Garliava
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
Tauras Taurage
07 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 1
Garliava
01 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai 2
Sirijus 1
FK Minija 3
Suduva 2
FK Atmosfera 2
Zalgiris 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 0
FK Panevezys 2
Klaipedos FM 1
BE1 NFA 0
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dainava Alytus 7
Kursenai 1
Transinvest 10
Tauras Taurage 1
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 4
FK Sirvena Birzai 0
Jonava 0
FA Siauliai 4
Neptunas 0
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Vilniaus Vytis 0
Banga 4
BFA Vilnius 1
FK Babrungas 0
AFK Vilnius 0
Garliava 3
Vilnius FA 0
Riteriai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai 1
FK Minija 4
FK Atmosfera 0
FK Panevezys 3
Klaipedos FM 0
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Ataka Vilnius 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Banga 0
BFA Vilnius 2
Garliava 1
Riteriai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija 2
FK Panevezys 1
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Semi-finals
FK Minija -
Dainava Alytus -
FA Siauliai -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Final
TBD -
TBD -