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BFA Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
BFA Vilnius Logo

BFA Vilnius

0 - 1
FT
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Logo

Hegelmann Litauen 2

Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Jonaitis L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hegelmann Litauen 2 in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hegelmann Litauen 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
BFA Vilnius
20%
Draws
34%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BFA Vilnius lately — more wins on the board than Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on BFA Vilnius taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 20%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 1.47 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
0:1
Aug 9, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:2
Sep 28, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
3:2
May 13, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs BFA Vilnius
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonaitis L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 85 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius Hegelmann Litauen 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hegelmann Litauen 2 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

BFA Vilnius scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: BFA Vilnius remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
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Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Away)
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 24 21 1 2 63:13 64
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 24 16 2 6 44:24 50
4 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
5 BFA Vilnius 25 13 4 8 39:35 43
6 Zalgiris 2 25 13 4 8 38:32 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 24 11 7 6 34:23 40
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
11 Garliava 24 7 4 13 29:27 25
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 24 7 1 16 23:38 22
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 25 4 5 16 27:56 17
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)