Sport Picks

Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs Tauras Taurage

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Jurevicius Z.
50' Event
Osipovic A.
61' Event
Pikciunas M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

BFA Vilnius in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
BFA Vilnius
35%
Draws
28%
Tauras Taurage
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Tauras Taurage have won more games recently than BFA Vilnius.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on BFA Vilnius taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 17%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius Tauras Taurage
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs BFA Vilnius
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Tauras Taurage
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs BFA Vilnius
2:3
Jun 18, 2025 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Tauras Taurage
2:2
Nov 8, 2024 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Tauras Taurage
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurevicius Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osipovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Tauras Taurage Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 57 / 100
Tauras Taurage 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius Tauras Taurage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

BFA Vilnius found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Tauras Taurage conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: BFA Vilnius remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS Tauras Taurage
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
15 Aug
Dainava Alytus
0 : 0
BFA Vilnius
08 Aug
BFA Vilnius
4 : 2
Transinvest 2
02 Aug
Siauliai 2
1 : 0
BFA Vilnius
Page 1 of 6

Tauras Taurage

(Away)
28 Aug
Tauras Taurage
2 : 2
BFA Vilnius
21 Aug
FK Babrungas
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
15 Aug
Garliava
0 : 1
Tauras Taurage
08 Aug
Tauras Taurage
0 : 2
Neptunas
02 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 22 17 4 1 38:7 55
2 FK Minija 21 18 1 2 55:12 55
3 Neptunas 22 13 2 7 30:27 41
4 BE1 NFA 21 13 2 6 38:24 41
5 Tauras Taurage 22 12 4 6 39:25 40
6 Zalgiris 2 22 11 4 7 36:31 37
7 Dainava Alytus 21 10 6 5 33:20 36
8 BFA Vilnius 22 11 3 8 33:31 36
9 FK Atmosfera 21 7 5 9 31:28 26
10 Jonava 22 7 5 10 26:28 26
11 Garliava 21 6 4 11 23:23 22
12 Hegelmann Litauen 2 22 6 1 15 24:50 19
13 Transinvest 2 22 5 3 14 24:52 18
14 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 21 5 1 15 18:34 16
15 Siauliai 2 22 3 5 14 20:47 14
16 Ekranas 22 3 2 17 21:50 11
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)