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Stadium Background

BFA Vilnius vs Transinvest 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Jurevicius Z.
32' Event
Misiunas D.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Jurevicius Z.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga game between BFA Vilnius and Transinvest 2 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFA Vilnius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
BFA Vilnius
20%
Draws
29%
Transinvest 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFA Vilnius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BFA Vilnius come out ahead of Transinvest 2 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
BFA Vilnius Clean Sheet 68%
Transinvest 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFA Vilnius Transinvest 2
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 15 6
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.45 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 I Lyga
BFA Vilnius vs Transinvest 2
4:2
Mar 21, 2026 I Lyga
Transinvest 2 vs BFA Vilnius
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFA Vilnius Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurevicius Z.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Transinvest 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Levsinas K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFA Vilnius 41 / 100
Transinvest 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFA Vilnius Transinvest 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFA Vilnius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Transinvest 2 has conceded goals in 92% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

BFA Vilnius scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: BFA Vilnius remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BFA Vilnius VS Transinvest 2
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BFA Vilnius

(Home)
09 Oct
BFA Vilnius
1 : 2
Zalgiris 2
26 Sept
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
BFA Vilnius
19 Sept
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
BFA Vilnius
12 Sept
Garliava
2 : 3
BFA Vilnius
04 Sept
BFA Vilnius
2 : 1
FK Babrungas
Page 1 of 6

Transinvest 2

(Away)
10 Oct
Transinvest 2
1 : 1
Ekranas
18 Sept
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Transinvest 2
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
05 Sept
FK Minija
3 : 0
Transinvest 2
29 Aug
Transinvest 2
1 : 2
Jonava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 26 20 4 2 45:11 64
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 26 14 2 10 33:31 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 37:33 31
10 Garliava 26 8 5 13 31:28 29
11 Jonava 26 7 6 13 28:35 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 30:59 22
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 26 7 1 18 27:59 22
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 26:59 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)