Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
Latvia
Latvian Cup Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
Match Events
11'
11'
Ivanovs E.
13'
13'
Skrebels R.
18'
18'
Yakubu J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
35%
55%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FK Auda Riga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than BFC Daugavpils.
- Win probability leans FK Auda Riga's way, sitting at 40%.
- FK Auda Riga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FK Auda Riga, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 17%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Auda Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 2, 2026 Latvian Cup
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
2:3
Jul 26, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
1:0
May 26, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BFC Daugavpils Compare
Top Goalscorer Skrebels R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yakubu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
FK Auda Riga Compare
Top Goalscorer Appiah A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daskevics E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BFC Daugavpils 28 / 100
FK Auda Riga 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BFC Daugavpils FK Auda Riga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FK Auda Riga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: BFC Daugavpils scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: FK Auda Riga conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
BFC Daugavpils has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
BFC Daugavpils VS FK Auda Riga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home) 13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
07 Sept
Riga FC
1 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
22 Aug
Super Nova
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1 Ogre United
08 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
01 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1 Jelgava
Page 1 of 4
FK Auda Riga
(Away) 11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2 FK Auda Riga
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1 Super Nova
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0 FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2 FK Auda Riga
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
13 Aug
Dinamo City
4 : 0 FK Auda Riga
09 Aug
Jelgava
0 : 1 FK Auda Riga
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -
