Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Latvia
Latvian Cup Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
Match Events
11'
11'
Ivanovs E.
13'
13'
Skrebels R.
18'
18'
Yakubu J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFC Daugavpils
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to FK Auda Riga lately — more wins on the board than BFC Daugavpils.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- FK Auda Riga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FK Auda Riga, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 17%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | FK Auda Riga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
2:1
Sep 2, 2026 Latvian Cup
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
2:3
Jul 26, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
1:0
May 26, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs BFC Daugavpils
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
BFC Daugavpils Compare
Top Goalscorer Skrebels R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Yakubu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
FK Auda Riga Compare
Top Goalscorer Appiah A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Daskevics E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
BFC Daugavpils 30 / 100
FK Auda Riga 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
BFC Daugavpils FK Auda Riga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BFC Daugavpils Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BFC Daugavpils has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: FK Auda Riga conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
BFC Daugavpils VS FK Auda Riga
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home) 01 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
25 Oct
Jelgava
0 : 1 BFC Daugavpils
19 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1 FK Auda Riga
11 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 2 BFC Daugavpils
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0 BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0 Tukums 2000
19 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1 FK Auda Riga
13 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
1 : 2 RFS
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
14 Aug
BFC Daugavpils
3 : 1 Ogre United
Page 1 of 4
FK Auda Riga
(Away) 01 Nov
FK Auda Riga
4 : 3 Jelgava
25 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 4 FK Auda Riga
19 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1 FK Auda Riga
12 Oct
FK Liepaja
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
20 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1 RFS
Page 1 of 7
25 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 4 FK Auda Riga
19 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1 FK Auda Riga
12 Oct
FK Liepaja
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
11 Sept
Riga FC
2 : 2 FK Auda Riga
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3 FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -
