Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs Noah Jurmala
Latvia
Optibet Virsliga 2021 
AI Match Summary
BFC Daugavpils host Noah Jurmala in the Optibet Virsliga 2021. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Noah Jurmala have shipped 3.29 goals a game lately, while BFC Daugavpils have conceded 1.06 and scored 1.47. Past meetings favor BFC Daugavpils slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2021, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.04 - 0.94) back BFC Daugavpils to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Noah Jurmala haven't matched BFC Daugavpils's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans BFC Daugavpils's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors BFC Daugavpils here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | Noah Jurmala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 1 |
| Draws | 9 | 1 |
| Losses | 11 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 0.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 3.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Noah Jurmala let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Noah Jurmala lost 5 of their last 5 games.
BFC Daugavpils's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home)Noah Jurmala
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 65:22 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 54:19 | 62 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 28 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 47:26 | 51 |
| 4 | Riga FC | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 54:26 | 50 |
| 5 | Spartaks Jurmala | 28 | 11 | 2 | 15 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 6 | BFC Daugavpils | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 37:53 | 32 |
| 7 | FK Metta | 28 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 33:55 | 20 |
| 8 | Noah Jurmala | 28 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 8:96 | 3 |
| 9 | Ventspils | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
