Sport Picks
BFC Daugavpils vs RFS
Latvia
Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils 
AI Match Summary
BFC Daugavpils host RFS in the Virsliga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. BFC Daugavpils have averaged 1.36 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against RFS's 2.3 scored and 0.85 conceded. Head-to-head, BFC Daugavpils have won 0 to RFS's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 30, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.50, favoring RFS. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- RFS have won more games recently than BFC Daugavpils.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
- Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- RFS have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | BFC Daugavpils | RFS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 24 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 2.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
BFC Daugavpils went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 52% of 33 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
BFC Daugavpils
(Home)RFS
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 68:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 84:30 | 67 |
| 3 | FK Auda Riga | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 57 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:43 | 42 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | 38 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:38 | 35 |
| 7 | Jelgava | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 32:48 | 31 |
| 8 | Grobina | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 20:51 | 24 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:60 | 23 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 29:75 | 15 |
