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BFC Daugavpils vs RFS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Stadions Celtnieks, Daugavpils
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Traore A.
Assist: Yakubu J.
19'
Sub
Barkovskis N. In: Mukwelle W.
Out: Barkovskis N.
32'
Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z.

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
BFC Daugavpils
15%
Draws
46%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • RFS have won more games recently than BFC Daugavpils.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on RFS taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RFS have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
BFC Daugavpils Clean Sheet 13%
RFS Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Daugavpils RFS
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 22
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.33 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs RFS
1:2
Jun 30, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs BFC Daugavpils
3:1
May 13, 2026 Virsliga
BFC Daugavpils vs RFS
0:1
Mar 21, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs BFC Daugavpils
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
RFS vs BFC Daugavpils
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFC Daugavpils Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipuscek Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Daugavpils 11 / 100
RFS 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Daugavpils RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFC Daugavpils has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

BFC Daugavpils found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

BFC Daugavpils VS RFS
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Daugavpils

(Home)
01 Nov
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 0
Tukums 2000
25 Oct
Jelgava
0 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
19 Oct
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 1
FK Auda Riga
11 Oct
Ogre United
1 : 2
BFC Daugavpils
19 Sept
FK Liepaja
0 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
01 Nov
RFS
3 : 0
Grobina
25 Oct
Super Nova
0 : 3
RFS
19 Oct
RFS
2 : 0
Tukums 2000
15 Oct
RFS
4 : 0
Super Nova
11 Oct
RFS
4 : 2
Jelgava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 35 28 5 2 87:24 89
2 Riga FC 35 25 8 2 95:33 83
3 FK Auda Riga 35 21 7 7 61:38 70
4 BFC Daugavpils 35 14 9 12 42:37 51
5 FK Liepaja 35 13 9 13 49:49 48
6 Super Nova 35 11 6 18 35:53 39
7 Jelgava 35 8 8 19 37:61 32
8 Grobina 35 6 11 18 27:64 29
9 Tukums 2000 35 5 10 20 44:67 25
10 Ogre United 35 4 7 24 34:85 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)