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BFC Preussen vs Greifswalder FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Juckel J.
65' Event
Wosz J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
BFC Preussen
35%
Draws
32%
Greifswalder FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • BFC Preussen haven't matched Greifswalder FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans BFC Preussen's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 16%
Greifswalder FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFC Preussen Greifswalder FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.59 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Preussen vs Greifswalder FC
1:1
Apr 5, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
BFC Preussen vs Greifswalder FC
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Greifswalder FC vs BFC Preussen
1:1
May 16, 2009 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
BFC Preussen vs Greifswalder FC
5:1
Nov 16, 2008 Oberliga NOFV-Nord
Greifswalder FC vs BFC Preussen
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFC Preussen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Greifswalder FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Juckel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFC Preussen 39 / 100
Greifswalder FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFC Preussen Greifswalder FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Preussen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

BFC Preussen found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Greifswalder FC conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: BFC Preussen remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

BFC Preussen VS Greifswalder FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

BFC Preussen

(Home)
10 Oct
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
Hertha Berlin II
26 Sept
Hallescher
3 : 2
BFC Preussen
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
BFC Preussen
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
Page 1 of 6

Greifswalder FC

(Away)
25 Sept
BFC Dynamo
1 : 0
Greifswalder FC
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
16 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2
Greifswalder FC
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 2
Greifswalder FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 BFC Dynamo 12 7 3 2 21:12 24
4 Jena 12 7 1 4 21:11 22
5 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
6 Altglienicke 12 6 3 3 20:15 21
7 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Zwickau 12 5 3 4 15:17 18
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
11 Magdeburg II 12 4 1 7 21:25 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 12 2 5 5 15:18 11
14 Hertha Berlin II 12 2 4 6 10:22 10
15 Chemie Leipzig 12 2 3 7 13:20 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 Luckenwalde 12 2 0 10 12:29 6
18 SV Tasmania Berlin 12 1 2 9 13:38 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)