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BFF Academy U19 vs Samtse

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gurung D.
40' Event
Yezer T.
69' Event
Dorji R.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between BFF Academy U19 and Samtse finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFF Academy U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
BFF Academy U19
15%
Draws
26%
Samtse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BFF Academy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Samtse haven't matched BFF Academy U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives BFF Academy U19 a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
BFF Academy U19 Clean Sheet 14%
Samtse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BFF Academy U19 Samtse
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.87 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.27 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Premier League
BFF Academy U19 vs Samtse
3:1
Apr 30, 2025 Premier League
Samtse vs BFF Academy U19
1:1
Jul 31, 2024 Premier League
BFF Academy U19 vs Samtse
2:1
Jun 2, 2024 Premier League
Samtse vs BFF Academy U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BFF Academy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorji R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yezer T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Samtse Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurung D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BFF Academy U19 84 / 100
Samtse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BFF Academy U19 Samtse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFF Academy U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BFF Academy U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Samtse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: BFF Academy U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

BFF Academy U19 VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

BFF Academy U19

(Home)
19 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 3
Thimphu City
15 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
BFF Academy U19
09 Sept
BFF Academy U19
0 : 5
Transport United
18 Aug
Tsirang
5 : 5
BFF Academy U19
05 Aug
Ugyen Academy
0 : 1
BFF Academy U19
Page 1 of 6

Samtse

(Away)
03 Oct
Samtse
0 : 2
Tensung
25 Sept
RTC
12 : 1
Samtse
23 Sept
Samtse
1 : 10
Thimphu City
17 Sept
Samtse
1 : 9
Transport United
13 Sept
Samtse
9 : 0
Southern City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:17 49
2 Thimphu City 18 14 1 3 64:23 43
3 RTC 18 12 2 4 62:19 38
4 Transport United 18 11 1 6 46:27 34
5 BFF Academy U19 18 8 3 7 40:36 27
6 Ugyen Academy 18 8 1 9 38:41 25
7 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 21:42 16
8 Tensung 18 3 2 13 17:48 11
9 Southern City 18 3 1 14 15:59 10
10 Samtse 18 2 2 14 22:87 8
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)