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Stadium Background

Bhutan U20 vs Nepal U20

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship U20
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dangol S.
52' Event
Bam S.
83' Event
Gyeltshen D.

AI Match Summary

Nepal U20 in this SAFF Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nepal U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bhutan U20
15%
Draws
46%
Nepal U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bhutan U20 haven't matched Nepal U20's recent run of results.
  • Bhutan U20 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nepal U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Bhutan U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bhutan U20 Nepal U20
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 4 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.11 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 SAFF Championship U20
Bhutan U20 vs Nepal U20
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Bhutan U20
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20
Bhutan U20 vs Nepal U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bhutan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyeltshen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nepal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dangol S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bam S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bhutan U20 41 / 100
Nepal U20 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bhutan U20 Nepal U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 20 matches.

Bhutan U20 scored in 67% of their last 18 games.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Bhutan U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bhutan U20 VS Nepal U20
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bhutan U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Bhutan U20
7 : 0
Macau U20
03 Sept
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Chinese Taipei U20
31 Aug
Singapore U20
3 : 1
Bhutan U20
01 Apr
India U20
5 : 0
Bhutan U20
27 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
Page 1 of 4

Nepal U20

(Away)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nepal U20 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Bhutan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Sri Lanka U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U20 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Bangladesh U20 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Pakistan U20 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - SAFF Championship U20 (Play Offs)