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Bhutan vs Bangladesh Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

78'
Sub
Namgyel T. In: Jigme K.
Out: Namgyel T.
78'
Sub
Tshering O. In: Tenzin P.
Out: Tshering O.
88'
Sub
Dorji T. In: Tshering D.
Out: Dorji T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Bhutan and Bangladesh finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bhutan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Bhutan
15%
Draws
42%
Bangladesh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bhutan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Bhutan haven't matched Bangladesh's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Bangladesh taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bangladesh have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bhutan Clean Sheet 10%
Bangladesh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bhutan Bangladesh
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.55 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2025 Friendly International
Bangladesh vs Bhutan
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Friendly International
Bhutan vs Bangladesh
1:0
Sep 5, 2024 Friendly International
Bhutan vs Bangladesh
0:1
Jun 28, 2023 SAFF Championship
Bhutan vs Bangladesh
1:3
Oct 3, 2019 Friendly International
Bangladesh vs Bhutan
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bhutan Compare

Top Goalscorer Wangchuk K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Bangladesh Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bhutan 10 / 100
Bangladesh 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bhutan Bangladesh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bangladesh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bangladesh's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bangladesh lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Bhutan scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Bhutan VS Bangladesh
0.71 Goals Scored 0.88
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
86% Over 2.5 38%
71% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bhutan

(Home)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0
Bhutan
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1
Bhutan
13 Nov
India
6 : 1
Bhutan
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Bangladesh

(Away)
28 Sept
Singapore
1 : 0
Bangladesh
25 Sept
Bangladesh
0 : 3
Malaysia
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
Singapore
1 : 0
Bangladesh
26 Mar
Vietnam
3 : 0
Bangladesh
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