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Stadium Background

Bhutan vs Brunei

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Ismail N.
29' Event
Said H.
39' Event
Gyeltshen C.
Assist: Tshering D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bhutan
15%
Draws
0%
Brunei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bhutan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bhutan haven't matched Brunei's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bhutan's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Brunei arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bhutan, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Bhutan Clean Sheet 14%
Brunei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bhutan Brunei
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 2 1
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 0.55 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.66 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Bhutan vs Brunei
2:1
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Brunei vs Bhutan
2:1
May 15, 2008 AFC Challenge Cup
Bhutan vs Brunei
1:1
Apr 6, 2006 AFC Challenge Cup
Bhutan vs Brunei
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bhutan Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyeltshen C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Brunei Compare

Top Goalscorer Said H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bhutan 35 / 100
Brunei 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bhutan Brunei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brunei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Brunei's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Bhutan found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Bhutan VS Brunei
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
3 Goals Conceded 3.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bhutan

(Home)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0
Bhutan
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Yemen
7 : 1
Bhutan
13 Nov
India
6 : 1
Bhutan
Page 1 of 6

Brunei

(Away)
09 Jun
Timor-Leste
3 : 1
Brunei
02 Jun
Brunei
0 : 3
Timor-Leste
31 Mar
Bhutan
2 : 1
Brunei
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Yemen
9 : 0
Brunei
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)