Sport Picks

Asia

SAFF Championship Women Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda)

Nepal W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bhutan W play Nepal W in the SAFF Championship Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bhutan W averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. Nepal W averaged 2.61 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Bhutan W won 0, Nepal W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 25, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Bhutan W and 2.63 for Nepal W. This points to a Nepal W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Bhutan W

15%

Draws

55%

Nepal W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Bhutan W picked up more points recently compared to Nepal W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 76%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Bhutan W Clean Sheet 10%

Nepal W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bhutan W	Nepal W
Matches Played	29	36
Wins	11	22
Draws	3	4
Losses	15	10
Goals Scored	1.93	2.61
Goals Conceded	2.34	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 SAFF Championship Women

Bhutan W vs Nepal W

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Oct 18, 2024 SAFF Championship Women

Nepal W vs Bhutan W

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Sep 6, 2022 SAFF Championship Women

Bhutan W vs Nepal W

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

0:4

Mar 12, 2019 SAFF Championship Women

Nepal W vs Bhutan W

Possession: 56% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Dec 26, 2016 SAFF Championship Women

Nepal W vs Bhutan W

Possession: 54% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bhutan W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Nepal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rana G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.85

Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bhutan W 29 / 100

Nepal W 52 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bhutan W Nepal W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Nepal W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bhutan W attacking → ← attacking Nepal W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bhutan W scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Nepal W let in goals in 50% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Bhutan W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Nepal W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 70

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 3.13

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Nepal W	2	2	0	3:0	6
2	Bhutan W	2	1	1	4:1	3
3	Sri Lanka W	2	0	2	0:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	India W	2	2	0	14:0	6
2	Bangladesh W	2	1	1	4:5	3
3	Maldives W	2	0	2	2:15	0