Sport Picks
Biala Podlaska vs Stal Krasnik
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 
Match Events
40'
40'
Wnuk A.
60'
60'
Bugaj V.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stal Krasnik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Biala Podlaska have won more games recently than Stal Krasnik.
- Win probability leans Stal Krasnik's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 12%
Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Biala Podlaska | Stal Krasnik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Stal Krasnik
1:1
Oct 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Biala Podlaska
0:1
Jun 3, 2021 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Stal Krasnik
1:3
Nov 29, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Biala Podlaska
4:1
Apr 5, 2020 III Liga - Group IV
Stal Krasnik vs Biala Podlaska
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Biala Podlaska Compare
Top Goalscorer Wnuk A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Stal Krasnik Compare
Top Goalscorer Bugaj V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Biala Podlaska 10 / 100
Stal Krasnik 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Biala Podlaska Stal Krasnik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Stal Krasnik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Biala Podlaska scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Stal Krasnik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Biala Podlaska has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Biala Podlaska VS Stal Krasnik
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Biala Podlaska
(Home) 19 Sept
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
06 Sept
Wisloka Debica
1 : 0 Biala Podlaska
28 Aug
Biala Podlaska
0 : 0 Kolbuszowa Dolna
22 Aug
Jaroslaw
2 : 0 Biala Podlaska
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 KS Wieczysta Krakow II
28 Aug
Biala Podlaska
0 : 0 Kolbuszowa Dolna
19 Aug
Biala Podlaska
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
07 Aug
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Hetman Zamosc
25 Jul
Biala Podlaska
3 : 4 Jagiellonia II
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Stal Krasnik
(Away) 30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
23 May
Stal Krasnik
2 : 0 Swidniczanka Swidnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
13 May
Stal Krasnik
1 : 1 Siarka Tarnobrzeg
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Naprzod Jedrzejow
0 : 3 Stal Krasnik
16 May
Biala Podlaska
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
09 May
Cracovia II
1 : 2 Stal Krasnik
25 Apr
Czarni Polaniec
1 : 1 Stal Krasnik
11 Apr
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 0 Stal Krasnik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 84:35 | 77 |
| 2 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 3 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 65:31 | 72 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 66:59 | 58 |
| 5 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 59:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 60:48 | 52 |
| 8 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 61:45 | 51 |
| 9 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 52:51 | 51 |
| 10 | Wisla II | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 67:58 | 49 |
| 11 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 37:35 | 48 |
| 12 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 59:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 45:55 | 38 |
| 14 | Kolbuszowa Dolna | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Stal Krasnik | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 16 | Cracovia II | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 44:71 | 33 |
| 17 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:80 | 19 |
| 18 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka | 34 | 4 | 1 | 29 | 29:110 | 13 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
