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Stadium Background

Biala Podlaska vs Swidniczanka Swidnik

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Biala Podlaska play Swidniczanka Swidnik in the III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026. Biala Podlaska are favorites here. Recently, Biala Podlaska averaged 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Swidniczanka Swidnik averaged 1 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, Biala Podlaska won 3, Swidniczanka Swidnik won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Biala Podlaska and 0.88 for Swidniczanka Swidnik. This points to a Biala Podlaska double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Biala Podlaska
6%
Draws
4%
Swidniczanka Swidnik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Biala Podlaska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Biala Podlaska has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Swidniczanka Swidnik.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Biala Podlaska.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 20%
Swidniczanka Swidnik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biala Podlaska Swidniczanka Swidnik
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 9 2
Losses 8 23
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Swidniczanka Swidnik
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Biala Podlaska
1:2
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Biala Podlaska vs Swidniczanka Swidnik
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Swidniczanka Swidnik vs Biala Podlaska
1:2
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Swidniczanka Swidnik
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biala Podlaska Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbanski P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kosieradzki J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Swidniczanka Swidnik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biala Podlaska 85 / 100
Swidniczanka Swidnik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biala Podlaska Swidniczanka Swidnik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biala Podlaska scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Swidniczanka Swidnik let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Biala Podlaska went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Swidniczanka Swidnik lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Biala Podlaska VS Swidniczanka Swidnik
2.25 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013