Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025

Wiazownica

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Biala Podlaska play Wiazownica in the III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Biala Podlaska averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Wiazownica averaged 1.21 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Biala Podlaska won 3, Wiazownica won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2025 ended 7:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Biala Podlaska and 1.31 for Wiazownica. This points to a Biala Podlaska double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Biala Podlaska

20%

Draws

32%

Wiazownica

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Biala Podlaska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Biala Podlaska picked up more points recently compared to Wiazownica.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%

Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 18%

Wiazownica Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Biala Podlaska	Wiazownica
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	13	8
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	1.97	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.39	2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Biala Podlaska vs Wiazownica

Possession: 42% - 40% Cards: 1 - 2

7:2

Nov 2, 2024 III Liga - Group IV

Wiazownica vs Biala Podlaska

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Nov 24, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Biala Podlaska vs Wiazownica

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

2:3

Aug 6, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Wiazownica vs Biala Podlaska

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Jun 10, 2023 III Liga - Group IV

Biala Podlaska vs Wiazownica

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biala Podlaska Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepiarz D.

4 Goals

Assists Leader Dobruk M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Wiazownica Compare

Top Goalscorer Kasia A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Janiczak G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biala Podlaska 47 / 100

Wiazownica 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Biala Podlaska Wiazownica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Biala Podlaska or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Biala Podlaska attacking → ← attacking Wiazownica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biala Podlaska scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Wiazownica let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Biala Podlaska went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Wiazownica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 32

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sandecja Nowy S.	34	22	8	4	65:31	74
2	Podhale Nowy Targ	34	21	5	8	67:43	68
3	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	20	5	9	76:42	65
4	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	19	6	9	55:40	63
5	Avia Swidnik	34	18	8	8	77:44	62
6	Korona Kielce II	34	17	10	7	71:50	61
7	Star Starachowice	34	16	7	11	61:46	55
8	Biala Podlaska	34	15	8	11	59:42	53
9	Chelmianka Chelm	34	16	5	13	74:62	53
10	Wisloka Debica	34	14	4	16	61:55	46
11	Czarni Polaniec	34	11	8	15	52:64	41
12	Wisla II	34	11	8	15	72:60	41
13	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	10	9	15	44:54	39
14	Wislanie Skawina	34	10	9	15	41:60	39
15	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	34	10	7	17	50:68	37
16	Wiazownica	34	7	9	18	38:70	30
17	Lewart Lubartow	34	5	4	25	31:85	19
18	Unia Tarnow	34	2	4	28	28:106	10