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Biashara Mara United vs Mtibwa Sugar

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Biashara Mara United play Mtibwa Sugar in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Biashara Mara United averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Mtibwa Sugar averaged 1 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Biashara Mara United won 1, Mtibwa Sugar won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 2, 2022 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Biashara Mara United and 1.05 for Mtibwa Sugar. This points to a Mtibwa Sugar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Biashara Mara United
6%
Draws
4%
Mtibwa Sugar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Biashara Mara United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mtibwa Sugar has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Biashara Mara United.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Biashara Mara United.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%
Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Biashara Mara United Mtibwa Sugar
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mtibwa Sugar
1:1
Dec 12, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Biashara Mara United
2:0
Mar 4, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Biashara Mara United
0:0
Oct 4, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mtibwa Sugar
1:0
Mar 14, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Biashara Mara United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Biashara Mara United Compare

Top Goalscorer Salum M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mtibwa Sugar Compare

Top Goalscorer Nzigamasabo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Biashara Mara United 95 / 100
Mtibwa Sugar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Biashara Mara United Mtibwa Sugar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Biashara Mara United scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Mtibwa Sugar let in goals in 79% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Biashara Mara United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mtibwa Sugar lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mtibwa Sugar
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30228049:874
2Simba301710341:1461
3Azam30147941:2849
4Geita Gold301210832:2646
5Namungo301011942:3441
6Kagera Sugar30912920:2539
7Coastal Union301081222:3138
8Polisi Tanzania30813921:2337
9Mbeya City30813925:2937
10Kinondoni MC308111134:3535
11Dodoma Jiji30981325:3735
12Ruvu Shooting308101228:3934
13Mtibwa Sugar307101325:3431
14Tanzania Prisons30781521:3429
15Biashara Mara United305131223:3528
16Mbeya Kwanza305101522:3925