Sport Picks
Biashara Mara United vs Mtibwa Sugar Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 
Match Events
44'
44'
Salum M.
Assist: Zigah C.
90'
90'
Nzigamasabo S.
Assist: Kahole F.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 game between Biashara Mara United and Mtibwa Sugar finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biashara Mara United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Mtibwa Sugar carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Biashara Mara United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%
Mtibwa Sugar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Biashara Mara United | Mtibwa Sugar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 0.95 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.51 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mtibwa Sugar
1:1
Dec 12, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Biashara Mara United
2:0
Mar 4, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Biashara Mara United
0:0
Oct 4, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Mtibwa Sugar
1:0
Mar 14, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mtibwa Sugar vs Biashara Mara United
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Biashara Mara United Compare
Top Goalscorer Salum M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Mtibwa Sugar Compare
Top Goalscorer Nzigamasabo S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Biashara Mara United 95 / 100
Mtibwa Sugar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Biashara Mara United Mtibwa Sugar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Biashara Mara United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Mtibwa Sugar has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Biashara Mara United found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Mtibwa Sugar let in goals in 78% of their last 37 matches.
Solid form: Biashara Mara United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mtibwa Sugar
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Biashara Mara United
(Home) 16 Jun
TRA United
2 : 0 Biashara Mara United
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0 TRA United
26 May
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 2 Biashara Mara United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
29 Jun
Azam
4 : 1 Biashara Mara United
Page 1 of 6
12 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0 TRA United
19 May
Biashara Mara United
2 : 0 Mbeya Kwanza
25 Jun
Biashara Mara United
1 : 0 Kinondoni MC
23 May
Biashara Mara United
1 : 1 Young Africans
17 May
Biashara Mara United
1 : 2 Namungo
Page 1 of 3
Mtibwa Sugar
(Away) 30 Jun
Namungo
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
24 Jun
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 3 Simba
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
13 Jun
Mbeya City
1 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
Page 1 of 8
30 Jun
Namungo
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Tanzania Prisons
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
18 Jun
Pamba
4 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
13 Jun
Mbeya City
1 : 0 Mtibwa Sugar
20 May
TRA United
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 49:8 | 74 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 41:14 | 61 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 41:28 | 49 |
| 4 | Geita Gold | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 32:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Namungo | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 42:34 | 41 |
| 6 | Kagera Sugar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 20:25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coastal Union | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 22:31 | 38 |
| 8 | Polisi Tanzania | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 21:23 | 37 |
| 9 | Mbeya City | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 25:29 | 37 |
| 10 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34:35 | 35 |
| 11 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 25:37 | 35 |
| 12 | Ruvu Shooting | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 28:39 | 34 |
| 13 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 25:34 | 31 |
| 14 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 21:34 | 29 |
| 15 | Biashara Mara United | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 23:35 | 28 |
| 16 | Mbeya Kwanza | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 22:39 | 25 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 (Relegation)
