Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Oddoh B.
63'
63'
Assifuah E.
90'
90'
Ochuoga P.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Bidco United and Mahia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mahia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bidco United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bidco United haven't matched Mahia's recent run of results.
- Model gives Bidco United a 49% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 68%
Mahia Clean Sheet 22%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bidco United | Mahia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Bidco United vs Mahia
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Mahia vs Bidco United
0:1
Feb 20, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Mahia
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Bidco United
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Mahia
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bidco United Compare
Top Goalscorer Oddoh B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Mahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Assifuah E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ochuoga P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bidco United 50 / 100
Mahia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bidco United Mahia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bidco United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mahia conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Mahia's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Bidco United scored in 40% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Bidco United VS Mahia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bidco United
(Home) 31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2 Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2 Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
05 Apr
Bidco United
0 : 1 KCB
21 Mar
Bidco United
0 : 0 Sofapaka
Page 1 of 4
Mahia
(Away) 13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1 Mahia
06 Sept
Mahia
0 : 2 Pyramids
23 Aug
Mahia
1 : 3 Tusker
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1 Mahia
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Pyramids
5 : 1 Mahia
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1 Mahia
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5 Mahia
27 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 0 Mahia
17 May
Muranga
1 : 3 Mahia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
