Sport Picks

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Bidco United vs Mahia

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Oddoh B.
63' Event
Assifuah E.
90' Event
Ochuoga P.

AI Match Summary

Bidco United host Mahia in the Premier League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Bidco United have averaged 0.13 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Mahia's 1 scored and 0.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Bidco United slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.32 - 1.06) back Mahia to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Bidco United
22%
Draws
60%
Mahia
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mahia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Mahia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Bidco United.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Mahia.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 22%
Mahia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidco United Mahia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 17
Draws 11 9
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 0.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Bidco United vs Mahia
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Mahia vs Bidco United
0:1
Feb 20, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Mahia
0:0
Dec 8, 2024 Premier League
Mahia vs Bidco United
0:1
Jun 23, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Mahia
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bidco United Compare

Top Goalscorer Oddoh B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Mahia Compare

Top Goalscorer Assifuah E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ochuoga P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidco United 21 / 100
Mahia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidco United Mahia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bidco United scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Mahia let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Bidco United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mahia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bidco United VS Mahia
0.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119