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Bidco United vs Shabana

Kenya Kenya

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Batshi A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Bidco United and Shabana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shabana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bidco United
30%
Draws
39%
Shabana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shabana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shabana come out ahead of Bidco United on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Shabana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 20%
Shabana Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidco United Shabana
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 3 12
Draws 11 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 0.53 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Bidco United vs Shabana
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs Bidco United
1:0
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Shabana vs Bidco United
2:1
Aug 24, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Shabana
1:1
Jun 19, 2024 Premier League
Shabana vs Bidco United
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidco United 36 / 100
Shabana 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidco United Shabana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shabana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Bidco United scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Shabana has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Bidco United stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bidco United VS Shabana
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bidco United

(Home)
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0
Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0
Kariobangi Sharks
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Shabana

(Away)
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
13 May
Mara Sugar
1 : 0
Shabana
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)