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Bidco United vs Sofapaka

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bidco United
30%
Draws
23%
Sofapaka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bidco United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bidco United lately — more wins on the board than Sofapaka.
  • Model gives Bidco United a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 68%
Sofapaka Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidco United Sofapaka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 2
Draws 11 9
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.53 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League
Bidco United vs Sofapaka
0:0
Jan 9, 2026 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Bidco United
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Premier League
Sofapaka vs Bidco United
1:2
Dec 21, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Sofapaka
0:2
Mar 2, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Sofapaka
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidco United 95 / 100
Sofapaka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidco United Sofapaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bidco United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sofapaka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Sofapaka registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Bidco United scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bidco United VS Sofapaka
0.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bidco United

(Home)
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2
Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2
Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1
Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0
Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0
Kariobangi Sharks
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Sofapaka

(Away)
31 May
Kariobangi Sharks
6 : 0
Sofapaka
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
24 May
Sofapaka
1 : 1
Shabana
11 May
Posta Rangers
3 : 0
Sofapaka
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2
Mathare United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)