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Bideford vs Bodmin Town

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Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Duff C.
48' Event
McGhee C.
49' Event
Duff C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2021 game between Bideford and Bodmin Town finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bideford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Bideford
15%
Draws
12%
Bodmin Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bideford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Bodmin Town haven't matched Bideford's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bideford's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Bideford Clean Sheet 20%
Bodmin Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bideford Bodmin Town
Matches Played 31 18
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.42 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Bideford vs Bodmin Town
3:1
Sep 26, 2017 FA Cup
Bideford vs Bodmin Town
1:0
Sep 20, 2017 FA Cup
Bodmin Town vs Bideford
1:1
Sep 12, 2012 FA Cup
Bodmin Town vs Bideford
2:3
Sep 8, 2012 FA Cup
Bideford vs Bodmin Town
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bideford Compare

Top Goalscorer Duff C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McGhee C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Bodmin Town Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bideford 85 / 100
Bodmin Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bideford Bodmin Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BID Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bodmin Town conceded in 83% of 18 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Bideford found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Bodmin Town's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bideford VS Bodmin Town
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 6
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Bideford

(Home)
28 Jul
Taunton Town
3 : 2
Bideford
04 Oct
Dorchester
4 : 0
Bideford
20 Sept
Swindon Supermarine
1 : 2
Bideford
06 Sept
Bideford
3 : 1
Mousehole
15 Jul
Bideford
1 : 2
Tiverton
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Bodmin Town

(Away)
10 Jul
Bodmin Town
0 : 9
Huddersfield
03 Aug
Bideford
3 : 1
Bodmin Town
18 Jul
Bodmin Town
1 : 11
Cardiff
26 Sept
Bideford
1 : 0
Bodmin Town
20 Sept
Bodmin Town
1 : 1
Bideford
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