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Bidezarra vs Burlades

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Gimeno M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Bidezarra and Burlades finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burlades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bidezarra
30%
Draws
31%
Burlades
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bidezarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bidezarra come out ahead of Burlades on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Bidezarra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 20%
Burlades Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidezarra Burlades
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.79 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.12 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Burlades
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Bidezarra
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Bidezarra
1:2
Dec 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Burlades
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bidezarra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Burlades Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimeno M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidezarra 49 / 100
Burlades 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidezarra Burlades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bidezarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burlades let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bidezarra remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Burlades lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bidezarra VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bidezarra

(Home)
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Beti Kozkor
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
Page 1 of 7

Burlades

(Away)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)