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Bidezarra vs Oberena Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Juan N.
79' Event
Garcia A.
83' Event
Salvoch G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Bidezarra and Oberena finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bidezarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Bidezarra
35%
Draws
32%
Oberena
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Bidezarra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bidezarra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 20%
Oberena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidezarra Oberena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.8 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Oberena
3:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Bidezarra
2:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Oberena vs Bidezarra
0:0
Jan 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Oberena
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bidezarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Juan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Oberena Compare

Top Goalscorer Salvoch G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidezarra 36 / 100
Oberena 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidezarra Oberena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oberena let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Bidezarra has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bidezarra found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Bidezarra VS Oberena
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bidezarra

(Home)
26 Sept
Txantrea
2 : 2
Bidezarra
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Beti Kozkor
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
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Oberena

(Away)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Pamplona
2 : 1
Oberena
19 Apr
Oberena
0 : 0
Cirbonero
10 Apr
CA Artajones
1 : 1
Oberena
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)