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Bidezarra vs Txantrea

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Oterminri A.
21' Event
Sancho L.
38' Event
Gracia A.

AI Match Summary

Bidezarra in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bidezarra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bidezarra
20%
Draws
34%
Txantrea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bidezarra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Txantrea at 1.48 per game, Bidezarra at 1.
  • Bidezarra are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 68%
Txantrea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bidezarra Txantrea
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Txantrea
4:2
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Bidezarra
2:1
Apr 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Txantrea
0:1
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Txantrea vs Bidezarra
0:1
Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Txantrea
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bidezarra Compare

Top Goalscorer Sancho L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Oterminri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Txantrea Compare

Top Goalscorer Gracia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zapata M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bidezarra 86 / 100
Txantrea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bidezarra Txantrea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bidezarra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Txantrea conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Bidezarra went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Txantrea's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bidezarra VS Txantrea
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bidezarra

(Home)
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Izarra
0 : 0
Bidezarra
25 Apr
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Aoiz
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Pamplona
3 : 1
Bidezarra
Page 1 of 6

Txantrea

(Away)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Oberena
2 : 1
Txantrea
25 Apr
Txantrea
1 : 2
Izarra
18 Apr
Bidezarra
4 : 2
Txantrea
11 Apr
Txantrea
2 : 0
Aoiz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)